how come there aren't any "smarts" or saber-metrics guys for football (ok, if there were, they'd have to be called safer-metrics). It drives me crazy when teams get close to the endzone and then kick the fieldgoal. I don't have the stats, but my gut tells me that it would be beneficial to go for it. obviously, a td is worth 2.333 of a fg. Plus, even if you don't get the td, you have the other team pinned down near their own endzone. again, i'd like to see the stats of how often a team in that position is forced to go 3 and out. I have to think it's pretty high, and if that happens, the original team (worded wrong, but you know what i mean) would get the ball nearly in fg range again.
I need a source of good football stats. I need to see the % of time a team can drive and score off a kickoff (average field position around 30 yard line). This would also clear up my argument against sudden death in overtime. i would also like to see the breakdown of the winning percentage of teams who score the most tds in a game and how that compares to the winning percentage of teams who score the most fgs in a game. Call me crazy, but i feel like the TD is to football what the walks and homeruns are to baseball.
That is all.
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