David Deming's oh so convincing argument against global warming  

Posted

my comments are in bold-italics.


Article published Dec 19, 2007
Year of global cooling [according
to a presentation to the UN, 2007 is currently the 7th hottest of all
time, and will most likely finish in the top 11 of all time]



December 19, 2007 [this line was true at the time]



By David Deming - Al Gore [implied
ad hominen attack. It worked for any issue that Michael Moore brought
up, so they think they can use it for Al Gore too]
says global
warming is a planetary emergency. It is difficult to see how this can
be so when record low temperatures are being set all over the world. [unless
you understand a concept studied in basic algebra called "average" or
"mean". Individual data points are irrelevant when you look at the
big picture of what the planet is doing. See, that's why that
reckless cowboy Al Gore calls it a PLANETARY emergency].
In 2007, hundreds of people died [dang Jethro, that's a big number...how many people are in the world again?], not from global warming [do
you have data of people who died of heat exhaustion, lack of water, or
any other issues related to increased temperatures? No? why not?]
, but from cold weather hazards. [so heating the planet is a good idea because it will eliminate the handful of deaths from freezing?]

Since the mid-19th century, the mean global temperature has increased by 0.7 degrees Celsius [I'm
all about the metric system, but I have to imagine he only used it to
make the number look smaller. Fahrenheit would have probably
generated a number greater than one. also, shouldn't we be talking in
terms of percentages of temperature increase in an effort to
standardize the data?]
. This slight [please define "slight" as used in a scientific manner] warming is not unusual [define unusual], and lies well within the range of natural variation [please
site the scientific literature that supports this theory. Also, please
explain why you are focusing on what has happened in the past, when the
issue of global warming deals with what's going to happen in the future
if these trends are allowed to continue]
. Carbon dioxide continues to build in the atmosphere, but the mean planetary temperature hasn't increased significantly [define significantly] for nearly nine years [the hottest 11 years in the recorded history of the planet have occurred in the past 13 years]. Antarctica is getting colder [one small data point that doesn't negate that the planet, as a whole, is getting hotter]. Neither the intensity nor the frequency of hurricanes has increased. [Please provide proof of this] The 2007 season was the third-quietest since 1966. In 2006 not a single hurricane made landfall in the U.S. [I'm
not going to look up data on hurricanes, but I can spot several areas
where he's probably manipulating the data. First, the definition of
"hurricane season" is probably limited. I seem to remember concern
that hurricanes are now occurring out of the "traditional season".
That's the whole problem with global warming; the current patterns of
weather are changing. So 2007 was below average, but the only mention
of 2006 was that there were no hurricanes that hit US land. Hurricanes
might be increasing outside of the US, or even on the water that then
flow into the US, but as long as it doesn't touch US land,
then everything is alright. U-S-A! U-S-A! Btw, what was the hurricane
situation like in 2005, I can't remember. {sarcasm}]


South America this year experienced one of its coldest winters in decades. [I
should just cut and paste the line about "one small data point that
doesn't negate that the planet, as a whole, is getting hotter]
In Buenos Aires, snow fell for the first time since the year 1918. [And
this disproves global warming how? Unusual weather patterns is a BAD
thing. The crops that grow in Buenos Aires have evolved, er, I
mean "were designed by God" to exist in a climate that is traditional
for Buenos Aires. Change the climate, and the crops won't be able to
survive.]
Dozens of homeless people died from exposure. [Dozens is slightly less impressive than hundreds, but Jethro is still impressed] In Peru, 200 people died from the cold and thousands more became infected with respiratory diseases
[Warmer weather is actually going to allow viruses to live longer.
Another pandemic is very likely to occur because of global warming]
. Crops failed, livestock perished, and the Peruvian government declared a state of emergency. [and...?]

Unexpected [Unexpected because our weather patterns are changing] bitter
cold swept the entire Southern Hemisphere in 2007. Johannesburg, South
Africa, had the first significant snowfall in 26 years. Australia
experienced the coldest June ever. In northeastern Australia, the city
of Townsville underwent the longest period of continuously cold weather
since 1941. In New Zealand, the weather turned so cold that vineyards
were endangered. [Remember jet streams? Think of big gusts of
wind that carry hot air from the equator and send it to the rest of the
planet. Those streams are changing patterns. So places that are used
to warm air might not get it anymore. Let's just say that jet streams
are VERY important]


Last January, $1.42 billion worth of California produce was lost [ok, now you have my attention. Products were lost? that's very Un-American] to a devastating five-day freeze. Thousands of agricultural employees were thrown out of work. [Wow, talk about pushing the capitalistic panic buttons] At
the supermarket, citrus prices soared. In the wake of the freeze,
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger asked President Bush to issue a
disaster declaration for affected counties. A few months earlier, Mr.
Schwarzenegger had enthusiastically signed the California Global
Warming Solutions Act of 2006, a law designed to cool the climate.
California Sen. Barbara Boxer continues to push for similar legislation
in the U.S. Senate [Ah, so if you support those crazy
liberals, you will be unable to afford orange
juice. And you might just find yourself out of work. and if that
happens, the terrorists win]
.

In April, a killing
freeze destroyed 95 percent of South Carolina's peach crop, and 90
percent of North Carolina's apple harvest. At Charlotte, N.C., a record
low temperature of 21 degrees Fahrenheit on April 8 was the coldest
ever recorded for April, breaking a record set in 1923. On June 8,
Denver recorded a new low of 31 degrees Fahrenheit. Denver's
temperature records extend back to 1872. [Individual data points, which could be random, or could be the result of changing jet streams]

Recent weeks have seen the return of unusually cold conditions to the Northern Hemisphere. [You had me at "recent weeks"] On
Dec. 7, St. Cloud, Minn., set a new record low of minus 15 degrees
Fahrenheit. On the same date, record low temperatures were also
recorded in Pennsylvania and Ohio.

Extreme cold weather is occurring worldwide [except
when you add up all of these data points and then divide by the number
of data points. When you do that, the AVERAGE is actually high.
Really high.]
. On Dec. 4, in Seoul, Korea, the temperature
was a record minus 5 degrees Celsius. Nov. 24, in Meacham, Ore., the
minimum temperature was 12 degrees Fahrenheit colder than the previous
record low set in 1952. The Canadian government warns that this winter
is likely to be the coldest in 15 years.

Oklahoma, Kansas and
Missouri are just emerging from a destructive ice storm that left at
least 36 people dead and a million without electric power. People
worldwide are being reminded of what used to be common sense: Cold
temperatures are inimical to human welfare and warm weather is
beneficial [Because humans are the only living thing on Earth.
Sure, humans might not be able to produce food if global warming
continues, but that just means they'll look even better in their
swimwear]
. Left in the dark and cold, Oklahomans rushed out to buy electric generators powered by gasoline, not solar cells [Because they are selfish and short sighted] . No one seemed particularly concerned about the welfare of polar bears, penguins or walruses. [excellent
use of "weird" animals to lessen the impact. The sentence wouldn't
have the same propaganda impact if you had used "fish, cows, and
chickens"]
Fossil fuels don't seem so awful when you're in the cold and dark. [see, you have two options. You can either care about global warming, or you can have electricity, but you can't have both.]

If
you think any of the preceding facts can falsify global warming, you're
hopelessly naive. Nothing creates cognitive dissonance in the mind of a
true believer. In 2005, a Canadian Greenpeace representative explained
“global warming can mean colder, it can mean drier, it can mean
wetter.” In other words [#1 way to spot the straw-man? see the words "in other words"], all weather variations are evidence for global warming [see? He turned one sentence into another just by saying "in other words". Brilliant!]. I can't make this stuff up. [YOU JUST DID!]

Global warming has long since passed from scientific hypothesis to the realm of pseudo-scientific mumbo-jumbo. [Oh, snap!]

David
Deming is a geophysicist, an adjunct scholar with the National Center
for Policy Analysis, and associate professor of Arts and Sciences at
the University of Oklahoma



[I've seen this argument
before. Typically, it will occur on a cold day in the middle of
winter. The person in question will shiver a bit, and then mumble
"Global warming? Yeah right!" Can't argue with that logic.]

This entry was posted on Thursday, December 20, 2007 at Thursday, December 20, 2007 . You can follow any responses to this entry through the comments feed .

1 comments

Anonymous  

such a brief generalised article and the bantering retorts add nothing to the understanding of such a complex issue. What this tit for tat argument reflects is how much dogma and belief systems have polrised OPINION rather than elucidating the situation. There are many facts and observations but the meaning and significance of these is certainly debatable. Better to ficus on what is widely agreed upon and what are rational and positive responses until we have a better understanding of a complex global system. Our knowledge of this system has expanded enormously in the last 30 years but our ability to interpret and understand the huge and increasing amount of data lags behind the collection of such. Those with dogmatic belief systems will always claim they know the answers long before the scientific and rationale who are always more cautious and circumspect. As always more heat means less light!

June 6, 2008 at 10:57 PM

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